Can Liverpool keep their winning run going against an Arsenal team that just won’t lose lately? This Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction for the Premier League looks at the attack and defence numbers on both sides before picking a winner.

Liverpool’s Goals Meet a Tough Arsenal Back Line

Liverpool have won four of their last five games, with their only blip a loss somewhere in that run. They score 2.8 goals a game this season, which is a big number for any Premier League side. The problem is Arsenal don’t give much away. They concede only 0.6 goals a game, by far the best defensive record of the two teams here. That clash between Liverpool’s sharp attack and Arsenal’s tight defence is the whole story of this match.

Arsenal have also been nearly perfect lately. Four wins and a draw make up their last five games, and that draw didn’t even come with a loss attached. A team that defends this well and rarely drops points is never an easy away trip, even for a Liverpool side full of confidence.

Arsenal Can Hurt Liverpool Too

This isn’t a one-way match-up though. Arsenal score 2 goals a game themselves, and Liverpool’s defence has been shaky this season. Liverpool concede 2 goals a game, way more than you’d expect from a team chasing the title. That means Arsenal should get their own chances at Anfield, even against a strong home side.

Put both sets of numbers together and you get a game where goals look likely from both ends, but also a game where someone should come out on top. Liverpool score for fun at home, and Arsenal rarely let strong attacks run wild against them without finding a way to hurt them back.

What History and the Odds Say About Liverpool vs Arsenal

The last five meetings between these two tell an interesting story. Liverpool have won twice, Arsenal have never won, and three games ended level. The most recent meeting in January 2026 was a flat 0-0 draw at Arsenal, with both sides keeping clean sheets. But three of the five meetings went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in three of those five games too.

  • Liverpool: 4 wins in last 5, score 2.8 goals a game, concede 2
  • Arsenal: 4 wins and a draw in last 5, concede just 0.6 a game
  • Last 5 meetings: Liverpool 2 wins, Arsenal 0 wins, 3 draws
  • Odds for Double Chance (Arsenal or Liverpool): 1.3

That history shows plenty of draws between these two, which is exactly why the market odds for a straight winner aren’t attractive. The Double Chance pick covers either team winning and only loses if the match ends level again. Given Arsenal’s current form and Liverpool’s leaky defence, a winner feels more likely than another stalemate this time. Fans who want a deeper breakdown of markets like this can check the VIP predictions page for extra picks on the same game.

Both teams have enough quality and goals in them to avoid another 0-0. For this Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction, backing Double Chance at 1.3 looks like the sensible way to play a game where a draw feels like the only real risk.

Back Double Chance in Liverpool vs Arsenal and check our VIP picks for more angles on this clash.

Sources: Premier League official site for fixtures and standings, and our VIP tips for more daily picks.